Cautious boom: new 2025 holiday shopping trends

05-12-25

The outlook for retail ahead of the 2025 holiday season is shaping up as a mix of financial caution, moderate optimism and a consumer who is firmly focused on getting real value for money. According to Mintel, this year’s festive season will be marked by a deep shift in shopping habits: consumers are buying in a smarter, more strategic way and with greater awareness of the global economic context.

For many households, inflation and economic uncertainty continue to shape decisions. Even so, in markets such as the UK, the United States and Germany, certain segments—especially higher-income consumers and younger shoppers—are showing a renewed desire to celebrate and spend, but with very clear priorities: they are looking for meaningful gifts, memorable experiences and quality products, rather than impulsive purchases. This mindset shift means that most people will adjust their budget without giving up on celebrating, but with a much more deliberate strategy.