ETC forecasts suggest 2019 levels will not be exceeded until 2024
12-09-22
Forecasts predict 427.6 million intra-EU tourists in 2022 and 514.8 million in 2023.
In 2025 all records will be broken, with 627.5 million of these European travellers on the continent.
In 2025, Spain will lead the ranking of countries with the highest share of these travellers, ahead of France for the first time.
In 2022, intra-European tourism will still be far from the levels of 2019, according to forecasts by the European Travel Commission (ETC), which suggest that they will not be reached next year either. We will have to wait until 2024 to surpass those figures, while 2025 will be a record-breaking year: 627 million European travellers will be reached.
So, while demand for intra-EU travel in Europe has picked up this summer after the pandemic lull, there is still some way to go to recover the 2019 figures, according to a new analysis by ETC together with Tourism Economics, which presents the latest trends and outlook for European tourism.
The analysis is available at the following link:
Intra-European Travel
Thus, compared to the 579.6 million intra-EU travellers registered in the EU in 2019, the forecast is for 427.6 million European tourists in 2022. Nor will the pre-pandemic level be reached in 2023, with a forecast of 514.8 million arrivals.
It will take until 2024 to surpass these figures: according to the ETC trend study, a new record of 587.5 million intra-EU travellers will be reached, while in 2025 all records will be broken, with 627.5 million European travellers in Europe.
What will be the top intra-European travel destinations? In 2025, Spain will lead the ranking of countries with the highest share of these travellers, ahead of France for the first time, with 13%, compared to 12.4% for the neighbouring country, and with Italy in third place, with 9.2%.
On the other hand, the share of competitors such as Greece, Turkey and Croatia will be much lower, with 5.3%, 4.8% and 2.5% of the intra-European market, respectively.
Top markets
On the other hand, the main markets remain unchanged compared to the pre-pandemic years. The German market remains the leader, accounting for 18.6% of intra-EU travellers, followed by the British (12.4%) and French (7.1%), while the Spanish market accounts for 3.9% of these travellers.
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